Thursday, April 5, 2007

Phoenix housing prices drop, but freefall not expected

The Arizona Republic - March 2007


Metropolitan Phoenix home prices have dipped in the past year, but economists say not to expect a freefall of Arizona's housing prices.Home sales and building have cooled statewide since 2005, but so far, "worries about a bursting housing bubble have not become reality," according to the February issue of the Arizona Blue Chip Economic Forecast.It cites information from the Office of the Federal Housing Oversight that show Arizona home prices were up 10percent during the fourth quarter of 2006 compared with the fourth quarter of 2005


Helping Arizona home prices are cities like Yuma, Prescott and Flagstaff, which posted double-digit gains in 2006. The Valley's home prices climbed 3percent during the same period. Nationally, home prices were up 6percent.Metro Phoenix led the nation for home price run-ups in 2005 with an almost 50percent jump, according the federal housing agency.The Valley's median resale home price fell about 5percent last year. The Blue Chip Economic Forecast is complied from economist's consensus forecasts and published by the JPMorgan Chase Economic Outlook Center, an affiliate of the L. William Seidman Research Institute in the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University.